Picking a coaching job Broncos have talent Chargers a QB ...

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Picking a coaching job: Broncos have talent, Chargers a QB ... Published: Jan 04, 2017 at 04:25 AM Brian Billick Before we get ahead of ourselves, let me first say this: Every open job in the NFL is, by definition, a good job. There are only 32 of them in the world, and in most cases, if they were any better, they wouldn't be available in the first place. The structure of the NFL is also such that there aren't really any automatic "career-killers" the way people used to talk about certain jobs in the college ranks. But if you should find yourself fortunate enough to choose your destination -- being with the , , , , and -- here are some very basic criteria you can use to arrive at your preference: Who has the best talent? This is one of the first things you think about -- and yet, it's fool's gold, simply because of the way it can change with a single free-agent defection, offseason cap casualty or crucial injury. Few teams had more talent going into 2016 than the , who were picked by many (myself included) to compete for a championship. They in the preseason, then just four weeks later. Sprinkle in some injuries to the offensive line, and the ' available talent diminished to very average as they went from playoff favorites to also-rans. With that caveat, Denver would appear to be the best job based on overall talent, but the also have a fairly appealing roster, with the likes of running back and some key foundational building blocks on the defensive side of the ball. Jacksonville certainly has flashed talent from its young skill players, and Buffalo still has some appealing skill-position options, starting with and the league's . But choosing a job based on the makeup of the current 53-man roster is very short-sighted. Rosters in the NFL are highly fluid, and any depth chart you're looking at today will be churned before players report for their first OTA. The best you can do, from a personnel perspective, is focus on the most important position ... Who has the best quarterback? If you're comparing apples to apples and asking which available job comes with the best quarterback , San Diego is the obvious choice. But comparing -- a 35-year-old veteran -- to, say, a 22-year-old , who has just a handful of true game snaps in Denver, is hardly fair. How long does Rivers want to continue to play? How long can he play effectively? What is the upside to Lynch? How long will it take for him to realize Houston Astros Custom Jersey his potential? Similarly, you can study the tape of Los Angeles' and Jacksonville's , but without being in the same building as them, understanding how they learn and proce s information, it's hard to make a truly educated decision as to which first-round quarterback is the best to hitch your wagon to. At that point, it's no better than drafting a new quarterback, which we have seen is anything but a sure thing. The next phase when critiquing a quarterback situation -- and certainly in the case of the , who hold the second overall pick in the 2017 -- is gauging the current draft cla s at the position. And when it comes to the Niners job, you have to operate under the a sumption that the , who have the first overall pick, could select the QB you value the most. In that case, you have to be just as comfortable with the second-rated quarterback on your board -- if you are, the gig becomes much more attractive. For the , that evaluation is much more difficult, as they seemingly won't have a shot at the "top-tier" quarterbacks with the 10th overall pick, given that QB-needy times like the , , and all pick before them. Buffalo has reached for quarterbacks in the past, which is why (taken 16th overall in 2013) is sitting on the roster. And with their starter of the last two years, . Before you start in with the examples of how you can be succe sful without drafting a quarterback in the first round -- such as the with (a sixth-round pick), the with (third round), the with (fourth round) and even the with (second round) -- know I can provide examples of multiple failures in the corresponding rounds to go with every one of your later-round drafting succe ses. (Were the smart to take Prescott? Sure, but also keep in mind that they went into that round , who was off the board when their pick came around. Sometimes, you get lucky.) What is the salary-cap situation? This one is fluid, because of the bump that everyone is going to experience this year in the cap. As it stands now, San Francisco is the best job, because the Niners are second only to Cleveland in terms of cap space, , though this also is representative of the paucity of talent on the roster. Jacksonville is sixth, L.A. is 15th, Denver is 18th and Buffalo is 24th. Who is the general manager? The relationship between head coach and general manager is like a marriage. You must be able to be honest with each other out loud, be on the same page in terms of strategy and nurture the relationship -- otherwise, a profe sional divorce is likely, if not inevitable. In this regard, San Francisco -- the only team to have -- may provide the best solution, because it is the only one in which you will come in at the same time as a new GM, with the entire rebuilding proce s beginning anew. (The most recent blueprint for how this can function was the ' hiring of coach Andy Reid and GM John Dorsey during the same offseason, with Dorsey getting the job in part because he knew and had a good relationship with Reid.) The GMs of Buffalo (Doug Whaley), San Diego (Tom Telesco) and Los Angeles Andy Pettitte Jersey (Les Snead) could be gone next year, with the entire proce s starting over again, with or (more often) without the present coach in the picture, regardle s of when he was hired. Even when it comes to someone like Jacksonville's David Caldwell, who, on the surface, appears to have done pretty well in the draft, you never truly know what is taking place behind closed doors. Denver seems to have the most stability with John Elway in place, but in Denver, you must be ready to clear every decision with a legendary, revered, hands-on GM, and that can be a difficult thing in an industry with big egos like the NFL. Who is the owner? Every owner is going to have individual quirks and personality traits that may or may not be appealing, but I'm not really referring to that in this sense. I'm referring to the history of stability and the proven pattern in which football decisions are made. Is the team like the , who have changed coaches and GMs as often as college teams change uniforms? Or is it like the , who allow the proce s to play itself out and the maturation to take place (and who have employed precisely three head coaches, all of whom have Super Bowls on their rsums, since 1969)? Houston Astros Jersey From this perspective, it is hard to ignore the ownership in Jacksonville, as Shad Khan gave former coach Gus Bradley more than a fair shot in his four seasons there. A more impulsive owner would have fired Bradley after his second season, with just seven wins to 25 lo ses, and certainly after his third season, when the posted just five wins. Meanwhile, San Francisco and Buffalo are the worst, if you consider that the are changing coaches for the third straight January, while the fired Rex Ryan only two seasons after then-head coach Doug Marrone , based on a clause in his contract (which was a red flag in itself, by the way). Oddly, the might also be the best of the best in this area -- at this very moment -- because they simply can't continue being this restle s without being crucified by the fans and the media as the real problem. More than any other team with a coaching vacancy, the Niners need to give whomever they hire three years at the helm. What's the divisional competition? Jacksonville again jumps to the top because of the AFC South -- which was won by the , one of the worst playoff teams we've seen since realignment in 2002 -- being in such disarray. The and are near the bottom in this category, because both the and have built such solid foundations in the AFC West. The and have to compete with the , a playoff contender for as long as is still playing, and also the , who have entered each of the past three seasons as heavy favorites, in the NFC West. And then, of course, there are the , who play in the AFC East, which has been won by the in 13 of the last 14 seasons. For that reason alone, the job becomes le s attractive. All else being equal, a coach is going to look better if he doesn't have to coach against Bill Belichick twice a year. This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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